Lots of “argh” moments lately. I could keep sharing them—and maybe I will—but for now, here’s a more complete reflection.
Markets have a funny way of reminding us who’s boss. One moment, everything looks great. The next, it’s chaos. And in that chaos, lessons emerge.
Velocity Brings Out The Worst in Markets
My biggest concern right now? The speed of this sell-off. If it accelerates much more, there’s a real risk that someone—or some institution—gets exposed. There’s always someone lying in some dusty corner of the market. When everything’s going up, they look like geniuses. But when things start falling fast, velocity exposes fragility. That exposure could trigger more forced selling before we find a true bottom.
That said, maybe the market is strong enough to absorb it. For a while, I believed the giant cash hoard in money market funds would act as a buffer. Apparently not! Another “argh” moment.
The Real Winner: Diversification
In the midst of all this chaos, one thing is clear: the real winner of this cycle is diversification. Everyone I know who’s been properly diversified—some bonds, a piece of gold—they’re doing just fine. In fact, they’re crushing it.
The rest of us? The stock-heavy crowd? We got smacked.
It’s a good lesson. Over a long enough timeline, diversification wins. Honestly, this is a bullish moment for the thoughtful financial advisors who guided their clients in that direction. Congrats to them. Seriously.
Keep Playing the Game
At the end of the day, this is the game. You see it. You study it. You try to keep playing, improving, optimizing. It’s pretty cool if you think about it.
Because true power isn’t in always being right. True power is in getting up off the mat, putting your gloves up, and saying: “is that all you got?”